The rhesus factor

The GAP Project, Marsh Arabs

The Rhesus Factor was completed six months prior to 9-11-2001, just before 'The Road Map for National Security' (see below) was published.

Rhesus is a fictional story set in 2017, six years after a terrorist attack on the United States killed 6,000. The US retaliated by invading Iraq, but unlike Desert Storm, this war lacked the blessing of the United Nations or other Arab nations. The result? Festering hatreds in the Middle East plunged the world into a prolonged war against terror.

There was nothing oracle-like about the premises. Washington had declared a 'war against terror' in 1998 after Osama bin Laden bombed US embassies. Bin Laden has long made known his intended use of weapons of mass destruction against the US, and he was connected to first bombing of the WTC. 9-11 came as no surprise to anyone in the Intelligence community. Indeed, the Hart-Rudman Commission, (formally The U.S. Commission on National Security/21st Century), was created by President Clinton in 1998 to evaluate post Cold War changes in national security threats and organization. The co-chairmen, former senators Gary Hart (D. Colorado) and Warren Rudman (R. New Hampshire) submitted the final copy, titled, "Road Map for National Security: Imperative for Change."(US$30. It was available from most US government web sites; no longer) to President George W. Bush on March 15, 2001. The report predicted a 9-11 scenario within twenty five years. Bush promptly dismissed it as fantasy.

Whilst The Rhesus Factor is not a book about terrorism, the references below may help explain why 9-11, in some form, was horribly inevitable. They also explain the real-world premises for the entirely fictional terrorist group, the Shatt-al Arabs. Regardless of who is running Iraq in the near future, water will become an increasingly contentious issue when Turkey's GAP project is complete, the North Atlantic Oscillation is in full swing and the Gulf Stream has shut down.


Click either to open popup window. Iraq Marsh Arabs (above) Image 4. Aral Sea (below) Image 12. The images are part of an 'Eye on Earth' series

Why the Saudis Are Warming Up to Idea of Mideast Peace: A political insight by Ronald Reagan By Ranan R. Lurie 'This rich country, which exports fanatic Islam propaganda and some of the finest terrorists available on the suicide market, has nothing but unemployment, poor education, population explosion and a religion that forces half of its work force--women--to stay idle. The only item that separates Saudi Arabia from total economic disaster is oil. It is not a nation that manufactures or produces. Because of its oil riches, no one even thought about an economic infrastructure other than oil production, and no one bothered to teach the younger generations how to make a living outside of the oil wells. And here comes the bombshell: Unlike the West, the Saudis did identify the forthcoming economic disaster that will hit their country like a meteor the size of Pasadena. Global warming is already devastating the sea levels all over the world, and low elevation islands north of New Zealand (see Farewell Tuvalu) had to be evacuated because of the ocean's flooding and covering homes. Beautiful pictures of a new sea, born at the North Pole after the glaciers melted, sent shivers down the spines of the rulers of Saudi Arabia. Boy, did they see the writing on the ice!

-Extract from Jewish World Review March 4, 2002 / 20 Adar, 5762


  • Chapter 21
  • “The World Trade Center (bombing in 1993) was easy…The next time a nuclear device is set off, it most likely will not be by a government. It will probably be set off by some group of people who are so frustrated at being consigned to desperation that they will be driven to potentially outrageous acts of terrorism.”

    - Norman Myers interview with Ross Gelbspan, April 4 1996. Published in The Heat Is On.


    Toxic Terror: Assessing Terrorist Use of Chemical and Biological Weapons. Jonathan B. Tucker, Editor. MIT Press. Appendix: Psychological and Motivational Factors in Terrorist Decision Making

    Plague Wars: Tom Mangold. Note, the entire book can be downloaded from the publisher in PDF format. Excellent bedtime reading -- if you're not prone to nightmares.


  • Chapter 22

    In the year 2065, on current trends, damage from climate change will exceed global GDP.

    - Andrew Dlugolecki, director of the UK-based General Insurance Development quoted from Climate Change and the Financial Sector, the Emerging Threat -- The Solar Solution. Munich: Gerling Akademie Verlag, 1996 Page 64


  • Chapter 23


    Buenos Aires daily diary on the climate change convention, 11 November 1998; Arabian Nights: Delegates are being kept up all night by oil-producing countries demanding compensation for future losses of revenue. Oh my.

    - Fred Pearce, New Scientist November 1998


  • Chapter 24
  • A recent study … found that the water flow in the River Euphrates, which runs from Turkey through Syria and Iraq to the Arabian Gulf, is halved in years with a strongly positive NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation - el Niño’s cousin) index. This should set diplomats thinking. The three countries have a long-running argument over low water levels in the Euphrates. Turkey and Syria have both dammed the river, and in 1975 Iraq threatened to bomb a Syrian dam, while Syria blamed Turkey for the water shortage downstream.

    - New Scientist, January 2001



    JERUSALEM -- Last summer was long and hot in the West Bank. It was also very dry. Palestinian summers typically are dry, and water for crops and drinking has always been scarce. But for Palestinians suffering under a double yoke of drought-level rainfall and the Israeli occupation, these years are drier and thirstier than ever. The only permanent surface watercourses in the area are the Jordan River and the Lake of Tiberias. The waters are allocated, under the terms of a 1996 agreement, between Jordan and Israel. The Palestinians living along the Jordan River's west bank are entitled to not a drop of it. Avoiding a Mideast Water War....

    -By Mark ZeitouWednesday, Page A23, Washington Post February 4, 2004.


  • Chapter 25
  • Long before the systems of the planet buckle, democracy will disintegrate under the stress of ecological disasters and their social consequences. Two different men independently expressed this chilling insight to me - William Ruckelshaus, the first head of the EPA and now CEO of Browning-Ferris Industries; and Dr. Henry Kendall of MIT, the recipient of the 1990 Nobel Prize for Physics.

    - Ross Gelbspan, The Heat Is On


    The GAP project. ICE case studies. Angela Joy Moss. Case Name: Marsh Arabs, Water Diversion and Cultural Survival. November 1997 & January 2001.



    Extract: "The primary reason for the 1967 Arab Israeli war"

    -ICE case sudies. Case Name: Jordan River Dispute. Lilach Grunfeld. Spring 1997.

    As I keep getting denials from people who don't think this makes any sense, please also see archives online, of William Safire, a New York Times Columnist. "The Six-Day War in 1967 really started in 1964 when Arabs started to divert the sources of the Jordan." - Prime minister Ariel Sharon in interview with Safire just before the US invaded Iraq in 2003. Go argue with Sharon.


    General information on Marsh Arabs


    TED Case number 189, Case Mnemonic: MARSH, Case Name: Marsh Arabs and Water Loss


    Iraq's 'devastated' Marsh Arabs BBC news, Monday, 3 March, 2003


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